Welcome!
I am a DPhil (PhD) student in Economics at the University of Oxford, supervised by Michael McMahon and Martin Ellison. You can find my CV here.
My research interests center around theotretical macroeconomics, with a particular focus on monetary-fiscal policy interactions and the effects of supply chain disruptions. Recently, I have also been affiliated with the World Bank, the Kiel Institute for the World Economy, and Deutsche Bundesbank.
Working Papers
Debt Indexation and the Fiscal Theory of the Price Level
Abstract: In this paper, we analyze the importance of inflation-indexation of a part of the stock of government debt. We establish empirically using both Local Projections and a narratively identified specific fiscal shock that sovereign deficit shocks are more inflationary when the share of government-issued inflation-indexed debt is higher. We leverage this finding to introduce inflation-indexed debt in macroeconomic models focusing on interactions of fiscal and monetary policy through policy rules, where we show that: (i) even absent further frictions, inflation-indexed debt makes the price level backward-looking (i.e., it becomes a jump-state variable), (ii) it tightens bounds that pin down 'active fiscal policy', (iii) it allows us to discriminate to some degree between 'fiscally-led' mechanisms and 'HANK-type' mechanisms surpassing Ricardian equivalence, and (iv) in a calibrated HANK model, a one percentage point increase in the share of inflation-indexed debt in overall government debt increases the volatility of the response of inflation to government spending by 3% relative to a no-indexed debt baseline case in a world of fiscal dominance, while there is no sizable effect under monetary dominance.
Upcoming presentations: SNDE Symposium 2025 | ifo Dresden Workshop 2025 | Scottish Economic Society 2025
Work in progress
Towards a Bullwhip Theory of Supply Chains
(joint with Michael McMahon)