Welcome!

I am a DPhil (PhD) student in Economics at the University of Oxford, supervised by Michael McMahon and Martin Ellison. You can find my CV here.

My research interests center around theotretical macroeconomics, with a particular focus on monetary-fiscal policy interactions. Recently, I have also been affiliated with the World Bank, the Kiel Institute for the World Economy, and Deutsche Bundesbank.

Working Papers

Debt Indexation, Determinacy, and Inflation

Abstract: In this paper, we analyze the importance of inflation-indexation of a part of the stock of government debt. We establish empirically using both Local Projections and a narratively identified powerful fiscal event that sovereign deficit shocks are more inflationary when the share of government-issued inflation-indexed debt is higher. We leverage this finding to introduce inflation-indexed debt in macroeconomic models focusing on interactions of fiscal and monetary policy through policy rules, where we show that: (i) even absent further frictions, inflation-indexed debt makes the price level backward-looking (i.e., it becomes a jump-state variable), (ii) it alters bounds that pin down 'active fiscal policy', (iii) it allows us to discriminate to some degree between 'fiscally-led' mechanisms and 'HANK-type' mechanisms surpassing Ricardian equivalence, and (iv) in a calibrated HANK model, changing the share of inflation-indexed government debt from a baseline case without indexed debt to levels observed in the US increases the inflationary effect of a 1% deficit-to-GDP shock by 0.21 percentage points under a fiscally-led policy mix, while there is no sizable effect under a monetary-led policy mix.

Upcoming presentations: CEBRA Annual Meeting 2025 | ASSA 2026

Work in progress

Our Deficit, Your Problem: Fiscal Sustainability and Exchange Rates

(joint with Chris Hyland)

Upcoming presentations: Austrian National Bank | University of Konstanz

Inflation-Indexed Debt and the Risks of Fiscal Dominance

(joint with Martin Ellison)

Upcoming presentations: CEPR 2nd Workshop on Modelling Fiscal Policy | Riksbank Research Conference on New Challenges for Monetary-Fiscal Policy Interactions

Towards a Bullwhip Theory of Supply Chains

(joint with Michael McMahon)